Simplified Orderflow Signals - trapped trader/ fuel, continuation

Hi everyone,

I wanted to share a project I’ve been working on and get some feedback from the community.

For those who don’t know me, I’ve been developing custom indicators, strategies, and trading tools for traders across various platforms for several years now. If you’re interested, feel free to have a look through some of my previous posts and the feedback people have kindly left regarding my work. I’ve always tried to focus on building tools that solve practical trading problems rather than adding more noise to the chart.

Over the last year I’ve spent a significant amount of time studying order flow and exploring platforms such as Sierra Chart, MotiveWave, and ATAS. Like many traders, I was impressed by the information available through footprint charts, bid/ask analysis, delta, and other order flow tools.

However, I also found that while order flow can provide a tremendous edge, it can be difficult and overwhelming for many traders to read consistently in real time. After many attempts to replicate and simplify some of these concepts, I came to realise that the value isn’t necessarily in seeing every number on a footprint chart, but in identifying when aggressive participants are likely becoming trapped or when that aggression is likely to fuel further movement.

With that goal in mind, I developed the indicator shown in the screenshots below - so you do not need to read the footprint charts yourself.

The indicator analyses aggressive buying and selling activity and attempts to identify areas where:

• Large participants may be trapped and forced to exit.
• Aggressive participation is likely to become fuel for continuation.
• Significant order flow imbalances occur without requiring a footprint chart or constant bid/ask monitoring.

The idea is not to replace order flow, but rather to translate some of that information into a visual format that can be interpreted much more quickly.

How I personally use it:

TRAPPED BUYERS

When a large positive imbalance appears after an extended move higher and price fails to continue, it can indicate that aggressive buyers have entered late into the move and may now be trapped. If price starts trading back through that area, those participants often become fuel for a move in the opposite direction.

TRAPPED SELLERS

The opposite applies at lows. A large negative imbalance can sometimes indicate aggressive selling into support or exhaustion. If price fails to continue lower and begins moving higher, those sellers can become trapped and fuel a rally.

FUEL / CONTINUATION

Not every imbalance is a reversal signal.

Sometimes a large imbalance appears and price immediately accepts the move. In those situations, I view the imbalance as confirmation of aggressive participation and potential fuel for continuation rather than exhaustion.

The context around the signal is important. I generally pay attention to:

  • Location within the broader structure.

  • Whether the market is trending or ranging.

  • How price behaves immediately after the imbalance occurs.

  • Whether follow-through confirms or rejects the aggressive activity.

The screenshots below show a few examples of both trapped trader scenarios and continuation/fuel scenarios.

/NQ examples

/ES example

This is still something I actively use and continue to refine, so I’d genuinely appreciate any thoughts, questions, or feedback from the community.

If anyone is interested in learning more about it, testing it, or discussing how it works, feel free to drop me a message. I’m happy to chat and answer questions.

My email is timmfain@gmail.com

Thanks for taking the time to read.

looks interesting. Indeed I have been looking for this for quite sometime. Would be happy to donate. I dropped you an email please check. Thanks.

Hi Tim, I’m Mike Holder in Ontario Canada. ( New to Tradeovate/ Old guy / not a Coder, small trader ). But I like anything Micro. Can you let me know if you need a donation, or how I can other wise try your Microstructure Indicator? Thanks, Mike. ( decisiontec@gmail.com).

Just a quick update: I believe I’ve replied to everyone who reached out. If you’ve sent me a message and haven’t received a response, please let me know here or send me another message.

I’m genuinely pleased to see the level of interest. One of the reasons I started working on this was that many order-flow products and algorithmic packages on the market today can cost hundreds or even thousands of dollars while still being very difficult to interpret consistently in real time. My goal was to simplify those concepts, remove much of the noise, and focus only on the information that matters most. I appreciate all the feedback and conversations so far and look forward to hearing from more of you.

how can i get to use this indicator?

thanks for your interest @Jonathan_Chew please send me an email on timmfain@gmail.com